How Many Towers Built is the Norm for Toronto ?
There has been a great deal of speculation lately regarding
the Toronto Condo Market, and whether it is a bubble or not. We’ve been hearing
time in and forever, about this market crash in the real estate market here,
which has yet to materialize. Now, I remember, back in 2003 at the beginning of
the Condo boom, even then, people were mumbling that the condo construction
then could not be sustained, those voices got louder in 2006-7 and of course
they have hit their peak since 2010, when there has been nothing of bubble talk
for over 3 years now.
One Thing you must keep in mind with regards, to Toronto is
that our population GTA wide increases at a factor of 100,000 per year. And a great deal of that growth occurs within
the downtown core, a downtown core which is bracing itself for increased
pressure on it’s transit and social service infrastructure. If we were to say that of the 100,000 people
that move to the GTA area, 30,000 of them moved into the core, how many condo
towers and of what height would be required. If we gauge, that a condo of 40 to
60 floors has 500 units, and of those units there will be 800 residents we can
calculate we will need 40 to 50 towers
of that size to accommodate that additional population, assuming that all those
new residents choose highrise accommodation. (somewhat unlikely)
Compared against the historic norm for Toronto, which is
roughly 35 to 40 buildings (highrises) being completed on a yearly basis, the
rate of building presently is not out of proportion at all. However, I will not
that at current, we are building a lot taller, just due to government growth
policies, and higher numbers of people moving to the area.
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